The heartwarming response from my friends to my post on the English translation of Bapu article on Financial Terrorism has prompted me to take the discussion forward on this subject. I am reproducing at the end of this post, few of the responses received.
As you all know, this article was written by Bapu way back in the year 2003. The world has seen many changes since then; there have been many upheavals around the world. Not even the developed countries have been spared this time around. The sub-prime crisis, which is a product of virtual money, as explained by Bapu, loomed over USA for a couple of years (2006 and 2007) before it finally struck in the year 2008, leaving a trail of financial destruction behind it, from which USA is yet to recover. In my opinion, It was indeed a product of the virtual money. What we have seen of the global economy in the past few years and what we are seeing today is but a confirmation of what Bapu had foreseen and projected back in 2003.
As I write this, the PIGS (acronym for Portugal, Italy & Ireland, Greece and Spain) nations, part of the European Union, are facing a financial crises of never before and dangerous proportions. In the year 2008, Iceland was on the brink of financial bankruptcy after three of its major banks failed to meet their debt obligations, following a run on deposits accepted by it in the Netherlands and UK. Its banking collapse is considered as the largest in economic history, given the size of its economy.
Take the case of Spain. Its increasingly desperate struggle to put its finances right has seen its borrowing costs soar to such levels that it would not be possible for it to manage the situation indefinitely, reflecting a growing belief that it will need a sovereign bailout, which the euro zone can barely afford at this point in time.
Spain’s and Italy’s fate, it appears, is linked to the fate of Greece. It is being increasingly felt that if Greece, which is on the verge of financial bankruptcy, were to default or exit the euro zone, the after effects of such a development could push Spain and even Italy over the edge. It is said that if Greece is to be put back on its feet, the European Central Bank and other lenders from within the European Union will have to write off monies owed to it by the government of Greece to the extent of Euro 200 billion! It is no surprise then that, today, Greece’s credit rating is far worse than that of many of the African nations.
The ripple effect of the European crisis is not likely to spare India either. The Prime Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh has admitted that India will be adversely affected by any crisis that may precipitate. In a study carried out by Maplecroft, which is risk analysis firm, although it has ranked India as 85th in terms of financial exposure, out of a total of 169 countries outside the euro zone that have business dealings with euro zone countries, it has still been categorized as high risk exposure. One of the main reasons is that nearly 18% of India’s exports for the year ended March 31, 2011 were to the Euro zone countries.
What emerges out of all these developments is the dubious role played by debt (virtual money as explained by Bapu) and how countries have fallen or have been made to fall in the debt trap.
Srijanee Dmello said...
Hari Om Dada. The idea of making money out of nothing always scares me. A lot of things in the world today seem to generate money, without any true value to it. That is one of the reasons I am very wary of the share market, it all feels so virtual. This article is such an eye-opener. I have always felt that US is a global bully and nothing less. Shree Ram so much for translating it, and putting it up on your blog. The situation seems so grim, what can we as the common person do to avert this Dada? We always will look at the cheaper option to purchase, when we have the option, should we avoid that and buy local products instead?
25 July 2012 07:28
Sameer Iyer said..
Hari Om Shri Ram Dada for sharing such an important article. Bapu is making everyone aware of the problems that every person will face in the coming future and how one should be prepared for it. Thank you Dada for the English translation. SHRI RAM!!
25 July 2012 07:42
Aniket Gupte said..
subharaman said...
Sunny Sand said...
sunilsinh bahl said...
Hari Om, I fully agree with Dada that Bapu had seen this coming way back in 2003. 4 years after this article on Financial Terrorism was published we saw the collapse of number of banks in US including the mighty Lehman Brothers. AIG [American Insurance Group] had to be bailed out. Their largest bank American Express, Bank of America all had to be bailed out. The virtual money [non existing money] and bankers taking advantage of this to introduce products like advanced derivatives pulled down many banks. Credit card defults are also because of virtual money abuse. Our own deficit financing is also a nature of virtual money abuse. With over 5% of GDP unbacked by assets is the virtual money circulated by Government year after year which has lead to inflation and other hardships. The 25% drop in currency value is also due to this virtual money menace.
ReplyDeleteIn short, spending too much with having virtually nothing is the cuase of all problems in the world today. The virtual money menace is so big that it is estimated that it will take 40 to 50 years of real growth in America to come to an acceptable level. The saving grace in India is that we have a very high savings rate of over 25% of GDP which insulates the State from the reasonably low deficit financing [virtual money] of 5%. It is interesting to not that Germany is the only country though having debt never uses deficit financing.
The entire theory of deficit financing propounded by Keynes is now being questioned. All these started after the great depression and stock market collapse of 1930. Virtual money helped in the war time and thereafter but now it is killing all nations.
Bapu had such foresight on these aspects which everyone thought would never happen to America or any other country in this world.
All these leads to one conclusion that whenver there is excess demand over supply the prices rise and Governments start printing virtual money and when the prices go up to astronomical levels there will be civil unrest and even wars. Consequetively, if few countries implode due to virtual money or excess spending for eg.PIGS, will certainly lead to Civil commotion, Currencies will collapse, inflation will go up to stratosphere and whether anyone likes or not war between nations will become reality. And PP Bapu had written about this long long back. Amazing foresight.
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